某炼油企业碳排放核算及减排潜力分析

王敏; 唐旭; 姜钰卿; 马美艳; 李忻颖

doi:10.12434/j.issn.2097-2547.20240511

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某炼油企业碳排放核算及减排潜力分析

绿色低碳化工技术 | 更新时间：2025-06-23

- 某炼油企业碳排放核算及减排潜力分析
- Carbon emission accounting and reduction potential analysis of a refinery
- 低碳化学与化工 2025, 50(6): 81-88.
- 作者机构：
  
  1.中国石油大学（北京）经济管理学院，北京 102249
  2.中国油气产业发展研究中心，北京 102249
  3.中国石油大学（北京）克拉玛依校区工商管理学院，新疆克拉玛依 834000
  4.中国石油集团经济技术研究院，北京 100724
- 作者简介：
  
  王敏（1996—），博士研究生，研究方向为石油石化行业挥发性有机物管控、炼化行业废气处理与温室气体减排协同控制、能源-环境-经济系统建模与政策分析及能源系统规划与建模分析，E-mail：mwsgmx@126.com。
  唐旭（1985—），博士，教授，博士研究生导师，研究方向为油气开采和石油化工行业温室气体减排、能源经济管理、资源环境政策与管理、能源与气候变化政策模拟、能源-环境-经济系统建模与政策分析及碳中和综合影响评估，E-mail：tangxu2001@163.com。
- 基金信息：
  
  国家自然科学基金面上项目(72174206);新疆维吾尔自治区重大科技专项(2024A01001);中国石油大学（北京）科研基金(2462023YQTD002;2462023SZBH015;2462024BJRC014)
- DOI：10.12434/j.issn.2097-2547.20240511
  中图分类号： TE99;X742
- 收稿日期：2024-12-24，
  
  修回日期：2025-02-25，
  
  纸质出版日期：2025-06-25
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
王敏,唐旭,姜钰卿等.某炼油企业碳排放核算及减排潜力分析[J].低碳化学与化工,2025,50(06):81-88.

WANG Min,TANG Xu,JIANG Yuqing,et al.Carbon emission accounting and reduction potential analysis of a refinery[J].Low-Carbon Chemistry and Chemical Engineering,2025,50(06):81-88.
王敏,唐旭,姜钰卿等.某炼油企业碳排放核算及减排潜力分析[J].低碳化学与化工,2025,50(06):81-88. DOI： 10.12434/j.issn.2097-2547.20240511.

WANG Min,TANG Xu,JIANG Yuqing,et al.Carbon emission accounting and reduction potential analysis of a refinery[J].Low-Carbon Chemistry and Chemical Engineering,2025,50(06):81-88. DOI： 10.12434/j.issn.2097-2547.20240511.

摘要

炼油行业的低碳化转型对国家“双碳”目标的实现具有重要意义。以某“燃料型”炼油企业为研究对象，采用排放系数法和物料衡算法对其基准年碳排放量进行了核算，并基于核算结果分析了碳排放源项分布特征。此外，借助情景分析法，预测了在中度管控（MC-CE）和深度管控（DC-CE）两种情景下的碳排放趋势，并评估了8项减碳措施在不同情景下的碳减排潜力。结果表明，该炼油企业基准年的碳排放总量为71.7683 × 10

t/a，平均碳排放因子（单位原油加工量碳排放）为0.2691 t/t，其中燃料燃烧和催化剂烧焦为主要碳排放源。在MC-CE情景下，2030年和2040年的碳排放量分别较基准年下降18.84%和28.80%；而在DC-CE情景下，2030年和2040年的碳排放量较基准年分别下降37.08%和53.59%。基于研究结果，建议炼油企业加快节能改造步伐，积极引进低碳技术，并大力推广清洁能源应用，以推动低碳转型进程。

Abstract

The low-carbon transformation of the oil refining industry is crucial to achieving “carbon peaking and carbon neutrality” goal. A “fuel-based” refinery was taken as the research object

and the emission factor method and the material balance method were adopted to calculate its carbon emission in the base year

and the distribution characteristics of carbon emission sources were analyzed based on the accounting results. Furthermore

using the scenario analysis method

carbon emission trends under medium control (MC-CE) and deep control (DC-CE) scenarios were predicted

and the carbon reduction potential of eight mitigation measures under different scenarios was evaluated. The results show that the refinery’s total carbon emission in the base year is 71.7683 × 10

t/a

with an average carbon emission factor (carbon emissions per unit of crude oil processed) of 0.2691 t/t. Fuel combustion and catalytic coking are identified as the primary sources of carbon emissions. Under the MC-CE scenario

carbon emissions in 2030 and 2040 are projected to decrease by 18.84% and 28.80%

respectively

compared to the base year

. Under the DC-CE scenario

carbon emissions in 2030 and 2040 are expected to decline by 37.08% and 53.59%

respectively

compared to the base year. Based on the research findings

it is recommended that refineries accelerate energy-saving retrofits

actively introduce low-carbon technologies and vigorously promote the application of clean energy to facilitate the low-carbon transition.

关键词

Keywords

references

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